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2024-12-14 07:40:21 <bdo draggable="PfQR"></bdo>
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Trump: I met Harold Daggett, president of Ila.Broadcom's share price rose more than 10% after the US market closed.The US dollar index rose by 0.3%, the Japanese yen fell to 153, and the Swiss franc fell by over 0.9%. On Thursday (December 12), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.31% to 107.038 points, and the intraday trading range was 106.354-107.041 points. The whole day showed a volatile upward state, but the European Central Bank announced a rate cut, the US PPI data was released, and Beijing. The Bloomberg dollar index rose by 0.28%, reaching a daily high of 1288.41 points, and then fluctuated upward after reaching a daily low of 1281.12 points at 15:17. The dollar rose 0.14% against the yen to 152.67 yen, and the intraday trading range was 151.81-152.77 yen. The euro fell 0.27% to 1.0467, the pound fell 0.62% to 1.2673, and the dollar rose 0.93% to 0.8924 against the Swiss franc. Among the commodity currencies, the Australian dollar was roughly flat after falling back against the US dollar, while the New Zealand dollar fell by 0.29% and the US dollar rose by 0.44% against the Canadian dollar. The Swedish krona fell 0.38% against the US dollar, while the Norwegian krona fell 0.26% against the US dollar.


The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: I believe that the Gaza agreement may be reached soon. US National Security Adviser Sullivan said on Thursday that he believes that an agreement on a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza may be reached soon, because Israel has indicated that it is ready and Hamas has shown signs of action.Nine stowaways' bodies were found in Tunisia, and Tunisia's national news agency reported on the 12th that its coast guard found nine stowaways' bodies in the waters near Mahdiyah province in the east.


Apple is reported to cooperate with Broadcom to develop AI chips, and TSMC's advanced process will welcome big orders again. On December 13, it was reported that Apple intends to invest in self-developed AI chips, jointly develop them with Broadcom, and produce them in TSMC's 3 nm process, and mass-produce them in 2026. The legal person is optimistic that after the development of Apple's self-developed AI chip is completed, the investment is expected, and TSMC's advanced process will usher in another big order. It is understood that Apple's current A-series processors for iPhone and M-series processors for Mac all adopt self-developed strategies, and are exclusively manufactured by TSMC. The legal person believes that once Apple's self-developed chips are extended to AI chips, the cooperation with TSMC will be closer. (Taiwan Province Economic Daily)Hong Kong's IPO is expected to return to the top three in the world next year, and signs of recovery of Hong Kong's IPO are beginning to appear this year: Hong Kong's capital market has ushered in a strong wave of "listing in Hong Kong", from upstarts such as Horizon to giants such as Midea, SF Express, Hengrui, Haitian and Mao Geping, and many mainland enterprises have turned their attention to Hong Kong. Some institutions predict that Hong Kong is expected to return to the fourth place in global IPO financing this year and the top three in the world in 2025. "When I was in Hong Kong, I might have to see three or five companies a day. This is no exaggeration." Chen Yiting, chief executive of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, said in an interview recently that "many market participants and investment bankers are quite optimistic about Hong Kong's IPO market in 2025." (Securities Times)Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.

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